Skip to main content

Advertisement

Log in

Effects of Early Social Bonds on Adolescent Trajectories of Sexual Risk Behaviors Among South African Girls

  • Original Paper
  • Published:
AIDS and Behavior Aims and scope Submit manuscript

Abstract

The goal of this manuscript is to advance HIV risk behavior prevention efforts for South African adolescent girls by identifying distinct trajectory patterns across multiple behavioral domains for adolescent and young adults. We draw from a sample of N = 1070 adolescent girls from South Africa who were between the ages of 13–15 at baseline. Participants were followed across 6 waves of data collection between 2011 and 2019. We focus on predicting trajectories between ages 15 and 21. All participants were HIV negative and had not experienced sexual debut at baseline. We examine group-based multi-variable trajectories across several known HIV risk behaviors: earlier age of sexual debut, engaging in unprotected sex, engaging in transactional sex, earlier age at first pregnancy, and exposure to physical IPV. We characterized three prototypical joint trajectories: abstainers (54%), early unprotected sex (36%), and high-risk sexually active (11%). We then predicted membership based on the following baseline risk and protective factors: household expenditures, bonding to school, parental monitoring, number of close friends, and community engagement. We found that school bonding and parental monitoring were the strongest predictor of sexual risk, and that, among those in both the early unprotected sex and high-risk groups, risky behaviors like unprotected and transactional sex most frequently occurred early in adolescence. These findings suggest that interventions should target girls early in adolescence, and that interventions focused at improving school bonding and promoting parental involvement may be most effective at preventing risky sexual behavior.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this article

Price excludes VAT (USA)
Tax calculation will be finalised during checkout.

Instant access to the full article PDF.

Fig. 1
Fig. 2

Similar content being viewed by others

Data Availability

Not applicable

References

  1. “AIDS statistics. 2019 factsheet. UNAIDS,” Global HIV. 2019. http://unaids.mio.guru/en/resources/fact-sheet.

  2. Simbayi L, Zuma K, Zungu N, Moyo S, Marinda E, Jooste S, Mabaso M, Ramlagan S, North A, Van Zyl J, Mohlabane N, Dietrich C, Naidoo, I & the SABSSM V, Team. South African National HIV Prevalence, Incidence, Behaviour and Communication Survey, 2017: towards achieving the UNAIDS 90–90-90 targets. CapeTown: HSRC Press; 2019.

    Google Scholar 

  3. Gómez-Olivé FX, Angotti N, Houle B, Klipstein-Grobusch K, Kabudula C, Menken J, Williams J, Tollman S, Clark SJ. Prevalence of HIV among those 15 and older in rural South Africa. AIDS Care. 2013;25(9):1122–8.

    Article  PubMed  PubMed Central  Google Scholar 

  4. Pettifor A, O’Brien K, MacPhail C, Miller WC, Rees H. Early coital debut and associated HIV risk factors among young women and men in South Africa. Int Perspect Sex Reprod Health. 2009;35:82–90.

    Article  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  5. McCarthy K, Brady M, Hallman K. Investing when it counts: Reviewing the evidence and charting a course of research and action for very young adolescents. New York: Population Council; 2016.

    Google Scholar 

  6. Kalamar AM, Bayer AM, Hindin MJ. Interventions to prevent sexually transmitted infections, including HIV, among young people in low-and middle-income countries: a systematic review of the published and gray literature. J Adolesc Health 2016;59(3):S22–31.

    Article  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  7. Stockl H, Kalra N, Jacobi J, Watts C. Is early sexual debut a risk factor for HIV infection among women in Sub-Saharan Africa? A systematic review. Am J Reprod Immunol. 2013;69:27–40.

    Article  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  8. World Health Organization. Adolescent pregnancy factsheet (2020). https://www.who.int/news-room/fact-sheets/detail/adolescent-pregnancy. Accessed 2021.

  9. Decker MR, Latimore AD, Yasutake S, Haviland M, Ahmed S, Blum RW, Sonenstein F, Astone NM. Gender-based violence against adolescent and young adult women in low-and middle-income countries. J Adolesc Health 2015;56(2):188–96.

    Article  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  10. Dixon-Mueller R. How young is “too young”? Comparative perspectives on adolescent sexual, marital, and reproductive transitions. Stud Fam Plann. 2008;39:247–62.

    Google Scholar 

  11. Lee RLT, Yuen Loke A, Hung TTM, Sobel H. A systematic review on identifying risk factors associated with early sexual debut and coerced sex among adolescents and young people in communities. J Clin Nurs. 2018;27(3–4):478–501.

    Article  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  12. Blum RW, Astone NM, Decker MR, Mouli VC. A conceptual framework for early adolescence: a platform for research. Int J Adolesc Med Health 2014;26:321–31.

    Article  PubMed  PubMed Central  Google Scholar 

  13. Sommer M. An overlooked priority: puberty in Sub-Saharan Africa. Am J Public Health 2011;101:979–81.

    Article  PubMed  PubMed Central  Google Scholar 

  14. Cederbaum JA, Gilreath TD, Barman-Adhikari A. Perceived risk and condom use among adolescents in Sub-Saharan Africa: a latent class analysis. Afr J Reprod Health 2014;18:26–33.

    Google Scholar 

  15. Small E, Weller BE. Profiles of Malawian adolescents at risk for HIV infections: implications for targeted prevention, policy, and practices. AIDS Care 2013;25(3):289–95.

    Article  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  16. Tibbits MK, Caldwell LL, Smith EA, Vergnani T, Wegner L. Longitudinal patterns of active leisure among South African youth: gender differences and associations with health risk behaviours. World Leis J. 2016;58(1):60–8.

    Article  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  17. Weller BE, Small E. Profiles of risk for HIV/AIDS among young Malawian adults: understanding behavioral intentions. Sex Cult. 2015;19:685–96.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  18. Weybright EH, Caldwell LL, Ram N, Smith EA, Wegner L. Trajectories of adolescent substance use development and the influence of healthy leisure: a growth mixture modeling approach. J Adolesc. 2016;49:158–69.

    Article  PubMed  PubMed Central  Google Scholar 

  19. Houle B, Yu S-T, Angotti N, Schatz E, Kabudula CW, Gómez-Olivé FX, Clark SJ, Menken J, Mojola SA. Clusters of HIV risk and protective sexual behaviors in agincourt, rural South Africa: Findings from the ha nakekela population-based study of ages 15 and older. Arch Sex Behav. 2020;49:2057–68.

    Article  PubMed  PubMed Central  Google Scholar 

  20. Bauer DJ, Shanahan MJ. Modeling complex interactions: Person-centered and variable-centered approaches. In: Little TD, Bovaird JA, Card NA, editors. Modeling contextual effects in longitudinal studies. Mahwah: Lawrence Erlbaum Associates Publishers; 2007. p. 255–83.

    Google Scholar 

  21. Comins CA, Rucinski KB, Baral S, Abebe SA, Mulu A, Schwartz SR. Vulnerability profiles and prevalence of HIV and other sexually transmitted infections among adolescent girls and young women in Ethiopia: a latent class analysis. PLoS ONE. 2020;15(5):e0232598.

    Article  CAS  PubMed  PubMed Central  Google Scholar 

  22. Umberson D, Crosnoe R, Reczek C. Social relationships and health behavior across the life course. Annu Rev Sociol. 2010;36(1):139–57.

    Article  PubMed  PubMed Central  Google Scholar 

  23. Crockett LJ, Bingham CR, Chopak JS, Vicary JR. Timing of first sexual intercourse: the role of social control, social learning, and problem behavior. J Youth Adolesc. 1996;25(1):89–111.

    Article  CAS  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  24. Kotchick BA, Shaffer A, Miller KS, Forehand R. Adolescent sexual risk behavior: a multi-system perspective. Clin Psychol Rev. 2001;21(4):493–519.

    Article  CAS  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  25. Hirschi T. A control theory of delinquency. Criminol Theor. 1969;1969:289–305.

    Google Scholar 

  26. Price J, Pettifor A, Selin A, Wagner RG, MacPhail C, Agyei Y, Gómez-Olivé FX, Kahn K. The association between perceived household educational support and HIV risk in young women in a rural South African community (HPTN 068): a cross sectional study. PLoS ONE. 2019;14:e0210632.

    Article  CAS  PubMed  PubMed Central  Google Scholar 

  27. Stoner MCD, Nguyen N, Kilburn K, Gómez-Olivé FX, Edwards JK, Selin A, Hughes JP, Agyei Y, Macphail C, Kahn K, Pettifor A. Age-disparate partnerships and incident HIV infection in adolescent girls and young women in rural South Africa. AIDS (London, England). 2019;33:83–91.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  28. Bhushan NL, Stoner MC, Twine R, Kahn K, Lippman SA, Pettifor AE. Community space, community groups, and incident HIV infection among adolescent girls and young women in rural South Africa: a longitudinal analysis of HIV prevention trials network 068 data. J Acquir Immune Defic Syndr. 1999;87:e201.

    Google Scholar 

  29. Fearon E, Wiggins RD, Pettifor AE, MacPhail C, Kahn K, Selin A, Gómez-Olivé FX, Delany-Moretlwe S, Piwowar-Manning E, Laeyendecker O. Associations between friendship characteristics and HIV and HSV-2 status amongst young South African women in HPTN-068. J Int AIDS Soc. 2017;20(4):e25029.

    Article  PubMed Central  Google Scholar 

  30. Arnett JJ. Emerging adulthood: a theory of development from the late teens through the twenties. Am Psychol. 2000;55(5):469.

    Article  CAS  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  31. Sawyer SM, Afifi RA, Bearinger LH, Blakemore S-J, Dick B, Ezeh AC, Patton GC. Adolescence: a foundation for future health. Lancet. 2012;379(9826):1630–40.

    Article  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  32. Blum RW, Astone NM, Decker MR, Mouli VC. A conceptual framework for early adolescence: a platform for research. Int J Adolesc Med Health 2014;26(3):321–31.

    Article  PubMed  PubMed Central  Google Scholar 

  33. Collinson MA. Striving against adversity: the dynamics of migration, health and poverty in rural South Africa. Glob Health Action 2010;3(1):5080.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  34. Pettifor A, MacPhail C, Hughes JP, Selin A, Wang J, Gómez-Olivé FX, Eshleman SH, Wagner RG, Mabuza W, Khoza N, et al. The effect of a conditional cash transfer on HIV incidence in young women in rural South Africa (HPTN 068): a phase 3, randomised controlled trial. Lancet Glob Health 2016;4(12):e978–88.

    Article  PubMed  PubMed Central  Google Scholar 

  35. García-Moreno C, Jansen HA, Ellsberg M, Heise L, Watts C, et al. WHO multi-country study on women’s health and domestic violence against women. Geneva: World Health Organization; 2005.

    Google Scholar 

  36. Dean DO, Bauer DJ, Shanahan MJ. A discrete-time multiple event process survival mixture (mepsum) model. Psychol Methods 2014;19(2):251.

    Article  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  37. Dean DO, Cole V, Bauer DJ. Delineating prototypical patterns of substance use initiations over time. Addiction 2015;110(4):585–94.

    Article  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  38. Nagin DS, Jones BL, Passos VL, Tremblay RE. Group-based multi-trajectory modeling. Stat Methods Med Res. 2018;27:2015–23.

    Article  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  39. Hipp JR, Bauer DJ. Local solutions in the estimation of growth mixture models. Psychol Methods 2006;11(1):36.

    Article  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  40. Vermunt JK. Latent class modeling with covariates: two improved three-step approaches. Polit Anal. 2010;18:450–69.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  41. Sommer M, Mmari K. Addressing structural and environmental factors for adolescent sexual and reproductive health in low-and middle-income countries. Am J Public Health 2015;105(10):1973–81.

    Article  PubMed  PubMed Central  Google Scholar 

  42. Lloyd CB. The role of schools in promoting sexual and reproductive health among adolescents in developing countries. Geneva: World Health Organizations; 2007.

    Book  Google Scholar 

  43. Okigbo CC, Kabiru CW, Mumah JN, Mojola SA, Beguy D. Influence of parental factors on adolescents’ transition to first sexual intercourse in Nairobi, Kenya: a longitudinal study. Reprod Health 2015;12(1):1–12.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  44. Biddlecom A, Awusabo-Asare K, Bankole A. Role of parents in adolescent sexual activity and contraceptive use in four African countries. Int Perspect Sex Reprod Health 2009;35:72–81.

    Article  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  45. Mlunde LB, Poudel KC, Sunguya BF, Mbwambo JK, Yasuoka J, Otsuka K, Ubuguyu O, Jimba M. A call for parental monitoring to improve condom use among secondary school students in Dar es Salaam, Tanzania. BMC Public Health 2012;12(1):1–11.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  46. Sidze EM, Defo BK. Effects of parenting practices on sexual risk-taking among young people in Cameroon. BMC Public Health 2013;13(1):1–14.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  47. Negeri EL. Assessment of risky sexual behaviors and risk perception among youths in Western Ethiopia: the influences of family and peers: a comparative cross-sectional study. BMC Public Health 2014;14(1):1–12.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  48. Dittus PJ, Michael SL, Becasen JS, Gloppen KM, McCarthy K, Guilamo-Ramos V. Parental monitoring and its associations with adolescent sexual risk behavior: a meta-analysis. Pediatrics 2015;136(6):e1587–99.

    Article  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  49. Kalina O, Geckova AM, Klein D, Jarcuska P, Orosova O, van Dijk JP, Reijneveld SA. Mother’s and father’s monitoring is more important than parental social support regarding sexual risk behaviour among 15-year-old adolescents. Eur J Contrac Reprod Health Care 2013;18(2):95–103.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  50. Parkes A, Henderson M, Wight D, Nixon C. Is parenting associated with teenagers’ early sexual risk-taking, autonomy and relationship with sexual partners? Perspect Sex Reprod Health 2011;43(1):30–40.

    Article  PubMed  PubMed Central  Google Scholar 

  51. Pilgrim NA, Ahmed S, Gray RH, Sekasanvu J, Lutalo T, Nalugoda F, Serwadda D, Wawer MJ. Family structure effects on early sexual debut among adolescent girls in Rakai, Uganda. Vulnerable child Youth Stud. 2014;9(3):193–205.

    Article  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  52. Kidman R, Palermo T. The relationship between parental presence and child sexual violence: evidence from thirteen countries in Sub-Saharan Africa. Child Abuse Negl. 2016;51:172–80.

    Article  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  53. Somefun OD, Odimegwu C. The protective role of family structure for adolescent development in Sub-Saharan Africa. PLoS ONE 2018;13(10): e0206197.

    Article  PubMed  PubMed Central  Google Scholar 

  54. Longmore MA, Manning WD, Giordano PC. Parent-child relationships in adolescence. London: Routledge; 2013.

    Google Scholar 

  55. Steinberg L, Morris AS. Adolescent development. Annu Rev Psychol. 2001;52(1):83–110.

    Article  CAS  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  56. Kajula LJ, Darling N, Kaaya SF, De Vries H. Parenting practices and styles associated with adolescent sexual health in Dar es Salaam, Tanzania. AIDS Care 2016;28(11):1467–72.

    Article  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  57. Fearon E, Wiggins RD, Pettifor AE, MacPhail C, Kahn K, Selin A, Gómez-Olivé FX, Hargreaves JR. Friendships among young South African women, sexual behaviours and connections to sexual partners (HPTN 068). AIDS Behav. 2019;23(6):1471–83.

    Article  PubMed  PubMed Central  Google Scholar 

  58. Ali MM, Dwyer DS. Estimating peer effects in sexual behavior among adolescents. J Adolesc. 2011;34(1):183–90.

    Article  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  59. Fearon E, Wiggins RD, Pettifor AE, Hargreaves JR. Is the sexual behaviour of young people in Sub-Saharan Africa influenced by their peers? A systematic review. Soc Sci Med. 2015;146:62–74.

    Article  PubMed  PubMed Central  Google Scholar 

  60. Kaufman CE, Clark S, Manzini N, May J. Communities, opportunities, and adolescents’ sexual behavior in KwaZulu-Natal South Africa. Stud Fam Plann. 2004;35(4):261–74.

    Article  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  61. Kilburn K, Hughes JP, MacPhail C, Wagner RG, Gómez-Olivé FX, Kahn K, Pettifor A. Cash transfers, young women’s economic well-being and HIV risk: evidence from HPTN 068. AIDS Behav. 2019;23(5):1178–94.

    Article  PubMed  PubMed Central  Google Scholar 

  62. Kim J, Pronyk P, Barnett T, Watts C. Exploring the role of economic empowerment in HIV prevention. AIDS 2008;22:S57–71.

    Article  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  63. Krishnan S, Dunbar MS, Minnis AM, Medlin CA, Gerdts CE, Padian NS. Poverty, gender inequities and women’s risk of human immunodeficiency virus/AIDS. Ann N Y Acad Sci. 2008;1136:101.

    Article  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  64. Brook DW, Morojele NK, Zhang C, Brook JS. South African adolescents: pathways to risky sexual behavior. AIDS Educ Prev. 2006;18(3):259–72.

    Article  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  65. Stoner MC, Edwards JK, Miller WC, Aiello AE, Halpern CT, Julien A, Selin A, Hughes JP, Wang J, Gomez-Olive FX, et al. The effect of schooling on age-disparate relationships and number of sexual partners among young women in rural South Africa enrolled in HPTN 068. J Acquir Immune Defic Syndr. (1999) 2017;76(5):e107.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  66. Stoner MC, Pettifor A, Edwards JK, Aiello AE, Halpern CT, Julien A, Selin A, Twine R, Hughes JP, Wang J, et al. The effect of school attendance and school dropout on incident HIV and hsv-2 among young women in rural South Africa enrolled in HPTN 068. AIDS (London, England) 2017;31(15):2127.

    Article  PubMed Central  Google Scholar 

  67. Stoner MC, Rucinski KB, Edwards JK, Selin A, Hughes JP, Wang J, Agyei Y, Gomez-Olive FX, MacPhail C, Kahn K, et al. The relationship between school dropout and pregnancy among adolescent girls and young women in South Africa: a HPTN 068 analysis. Health Educ Behav. 2019;46(4):559–68.

    Article  PubMed  PubMed Central  Google Scholar 

  68. Pettifor AE, Levandowski BA, MacPhail C, Padian NS, Cohen MS, Rees HV. Keep them in school: the importance of education as a protective factor against HIV infection among young South African women. Int J Epidemiol. 2008;37(6):1266–73.

    Article  PubMed  PubMed Central  Google Scholar 

  69. Zuilkowski SS, Jukes MC. The impact of education on sexual behavior in Sub-Saharan Africa: a review of the evidence. AIDS Care 2012;24(5):562–76.

    Article  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  70. Blasdell R. The co-occurrence of physical and sexual intimate partner violence among us college females. Int J Crim Justice Sci. 2021;16(1):97–109.

    Google Scholar 

  71. Sokol RL, Ennett ST, Gottfredson NC, Shanahan ME, Poti JM, Halpern CT, Fisher EB. Child maltreatment and body mass index over time: the roles of social support and stress responses. Child Youth Serv Rev. 2019;100:214–20.

    Article  PubMed  PubMed Central  Google Scholar 

Download references

Acknowledgements

NLB was supported by the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases (T32 AI00700140). The HIV Prevention Trials Network is funded by the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases (UM1AI068619, UM1AI068613, and UM1AI1068617), with co-funding from the National Institute of Mental Health and the National Institute on Drug Abuse, all components of the US National Institutes of Health. This work was also supported by NIMH(R01MH087118) and the Carolina Population Center and its NIH Center Grant (P2C HD050924).

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Contributions

AP and KK collected data from the parent study. NG analyzed the data. NG and NB wrote the first draft of the manuscript. All authors provided input on analyses and manuscript text.

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Nisha C. Gottfredson.

Ethics declarations

Conflict of interest

Not applicable.

Ethical Approval

From the institutional review board at University of North Carolina, Chapel Hill

Additional information

Publisher's Note

Springer Nature remains neutral with regard to jurisdictional claims in published maps and institutional affiliations.

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

About this article

Check for updates. Verify currency and authenticity via CrossMark

Cite this article

Gottfredson, N.C., Bhushan, N.L., Reyes, H.L.M. et al. Effects of Early Social Bonds on Adolescent Trajectories of Sexual Risk Behaviors Among South African Girls. AIDS Behav 26, 1173–1182 (2022). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10461-021-03472-w

Download citation

  • Accepted:

  • Published:

  • Issue Date:

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10461-021-03472-w

Keywords

Navigation