WASHINGTON — More than half of Americans say there’s no chance of them voting for former President Donald Trump to return to the White House in 2024, according to a national poll released Wednesday.
With Trump, 77, the clear front-runner in the Republican primary, 53% of Americans told the AP-NORC Center survey they would “definitely not” support him next November — with another 11% saying they would “probably not” pull the lever for the 45th president.
That leaves just 36% who say that they would “probably” or “definitely” support Trump in his third consecutive bid for the presidency.
But Trump’s high disapproval rating among the general public has yet to affect most Republicans, with 74% saying they would definitely or probably support the former president if he were the GOP nominee — and 63% saying they wanted Trump to keep running in 2024.
The poll was taken before a Georgia grand jury indicted Trump Monday night on 13 counts in connection with his attempt to undo the 2020 election result in the Peach State — the fourth bill handed up against the former president in four and a half months.
After Trump’s first indictment, by Manhattan DA Alvin Bragg in late March, 55% of Republicans said they wanted him to continue his campaign.
Ahead of the Georgia indictment, 51% said they thought Trump’s actions in that matter were illegal — though only 16% of Republicans agreed with that statement.
The legal case against the former president with the broadest support is the federal indictment against him for allegedly hoarding sensitive national security information at Mar-a-Lago, with 53% saying Trump’s actions were “illegal” and 18% of Republicans saying the same.
On the other side of the aisle, three-quarters of respondents — including 55% of Democrats — said they did not want President Biden to seek re-election. However, only 43% of Americans said they definitely would not support him in a general election, while 11% said they would “probably not.”
Meanwhile, a Quinnipiac University survey of a hypothetical Biden-Trump 2024 matchup showed the incumbent leading the former president by one percentage point in the popular vote, 47% to 46%.
The same poll also found that 54% of Americans think Trump should be prosecuted for his alleged attempts to remain in power following his defeat by Biden in 2020, while 68% said they believed anyone convicted of a felony should not be eligible to serve as president.
Both the AP/NORC and Quinnipiac University polls were in the field from Aug. 10 to 14.
The AP/NORC survey included 1,165 adults and had a margin of error of plus or minus 3.8 percentage points. Quinnipiac surveyed 1,818 adults with a margin of error of plus or minus 2.3 percentage points.